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Pakistan’s Population Promise Amid Political Reforms

Published on: November 24, 2025 4:19 AM

November 24, 2025 by Dr Luay Shabaneh

Three recent benchmark initiatives in Islamabad, the constitutional amendment, the Dawn Population Summit, and the PBS DataFest 2025, signal together a turning point for Pakistan’s population agenda. Together, they lay bare a simple but urgent truth that policy, governance, and development must begin with the rights and needs of the people. Population management is, at its core, a political question. These national conversations offer a rare moment to rewrite the narrative and align political reform, population planning, and data-driven decision-making around one unifying principle that puts people first.

Reform is not merely the shuffling of power or the redesign of institutions. It is the pursuit of outcomes that genuinely improve lives. When governance works, a woman can give birth safely, young men and women can access real opportunities, and families can rely on quality essential services. When governance falters, the consequences are swift where budgets stall, cases of gender-based violence go unreported, and policies overlook the lived realities of women and adolescent girls. The stakes could not be clearer.

At UNFPA, we define success in people-centred terms: ensuring that every pregnancy is wanted, every childbirth is safe, and every young person’s potential is fulfilled. Achieving this vision depends on institutions that plan, coordinate, and deliver effectively, and that are accountable to the citizens they serve.

The National Finance Commission (NFC) Award, for example, illustrates both a potential and a barrier of governance mechanisms. While NFC’s population-based formula aims to distribute resources fairly among provinces, it has unintentionally widened inequalities. Provinces with large populations face immense pressure to deliver social services, while smaller provinces are often more vulnerable to climate change, gender inequality, and gaps in family planning, because they have fewer fiscal tools to address these challenges. This imbalance undermines collective responses to national priorities such as climate adaptation, women’s empowerment, and sustainable population growth. Pakistan’s global performance on gender equality and human development indicators reflects these structural challenges.

Constitutions, fiscal frameworks, and data systems gain their power from the lives they improve.

Constitutional reform presents an opportunity to reconsider how power and resources can more effectively benefit citizens. Meaningful reform enhances institutions that serve the public, establishes accountability between the state and its citizens as part of the social contract, guarantees transparency in resource management, and fosters mechanisms for inclusive participation. This is where current national initiatives converge. The constitutional reform process can integrate accountability, inclusion, and social protection into governance frameworks. The forthcoming Dawn Population Summit provides a platform to draw lessons from regional successes in managing population growth and to shape Pakistan’s own strategy, connecting population trends with economic and social development. Furthermore, the PBS DataFest highlights the significance of evidence-based decision-making. However, beyond merely gathering data, Pakistan must leverage the investments made over decades in censuses, surveys, and administrative records. Ensuring this data is accessible to researchers, civil society, and policymakers is essential. When data is timely integrated into planning and program design, it optimises resource allocation, enhances outcomes, and fortifies the foundations of accountability to the populace. Collectively, these initiatives present Pakistan with a unique opportunity to transcend power politics and craft a cohesive development vision – one that harmonises provincial autonomy with shared national priorities, and political considerations with the rights of the people.

For example, enhancing demographic and social data systems across provinces can lead to more equitable fiscal distributions, while integrating family planning with climate adaptation and economic development safeguards both individuals and resources. Incorporating women’s empowerment into reform frameworks accelerates inclusive development. These initiatives are interconnected; they support each other, and their success relies on dependable information that informs decision-making at all levels. Pakistan’s significant youth demographic, urban expansion, and environmental challenges all lead to a singular conclusion that speaks to the sustainable advancement which necessitates governance that plans with the populace, rather than merely for them. The true measure of reform will be its ability to promote social justice, gender equality, and opportunities for all citizens. As these discussions progress, it is crucial for policymakers, civil society, and development partners to recognise their shared duty to ensure that reform is not merely an abstract exercise in political strategy. It must serve as a social contract that fortifies citizens’ rights, elevates their voices, and transforms commitments into concrete advancements. By merging inclusive governance with data-driven planning, Pakistan can guarantee that every investment – whether in people, data, or institutions – yields tangible benefits for society. Constitutions, fiscal frameworks, and data systems gain their power from the lives they improve. This is a crucial moment for Pakistan – in relation to its population and its reforms – to place people at the centre of national decision-making, transforming policy, governance, and resources into real, fair progress. The human force is the real asset and treasure of Pakistan, and it should be treated as such for a brighter future for the nation.

The writer is UNFPA Representative

Filed Under: Op-Ed Tagged With: Pakistan, Population

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