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Navigating Shallow Waters (Part II)

Published on: December 31, 2025 1:10 AM

December 31, 2025 by Sardar Tee Shahid

Pakistan’s experience in 2025 highlighted the intricate relationship between national security and societal well-being. Counter-terrorism efforts, while essential, sometimes strain civil liberties and exacerbate social divides. The presence of extremism, often linked to socio-economic grievances and a historical context of inequality, cannot be solely addressed through security operations. A holistic approach, integrating security measures with robust social welfare policies, education reform, and economic empowerment, is essential for cultivating a truly egalitarian and secure society. The lessons indicate that true national security extends beyond border protection; it encompasses human security and the creation of an inclusive environment where all citizens feel a stake in the nation’s future.

The repeated recourse to the IMF in 2025 raised fundamental questions about Pakistan’s economic autonomy. While IMF programs provided critical liquidity and forced some necessary fiscal discipline, they also perpetuated a cycle of dependency. The conditions attached to these programs, though aimed at structural reform, often faced public resistance and internal political hurdles. For 2026, the nation must critically evaluate whether these interventions serve as a temporary lifeline or hinder the development of self-sufficient economic policies. Building robust domestic revenue generation, fostering export-led growth, and attracting sustainable foreign investment, independent of conditional aid, stand as paramount objectives. Escaping this cycle requires a long-term vision and unwavering political will to implement difficult, yet ultimately liberating, economic policies.

Burying and relegating vested individual, political and institutional interests in honour of the masses, harmonised societies, and nationhood, only through sustained commitment to reform, inclusive development, and strategic regional engagement can Pakistan hope to steer itself towards the course of genuine stability and progress.

Pakistan’s engagement with its region in 2025 underscored the enduring complexities of its geopolitical position. Balancing relations with major powers like China and the US, while simultaneously managing volatile ties with neighbours such as India and Afghanistan, demands astute diplomacy. The India-Pakistan dynamic, perpetually on edge, highlights the need for sustained, albeit difficult, channels of communication and the exploration of third-party mediation for conflict resolution. Neither India nor Pakistan can change neighbours, thus a way forward needs to be carved out unless Pakistan continues to be a hostage of security and the security framework. The strategic shift towards geo-economics, as articulated by the military, represents a pragmatic evolution in foreign policy, recognising the dividends of economic integration over perpetual geo-security concerns. For 2026, Pakistan’s regional policy must prioritise de-escalation, economic connectivity, and multilateral cooperation, transforming its role from a conflict buffer to a regional economic hub.

As the sun of the year 2025 sets, it serves as a stark reminder of the persistent challenges and latent potential within Pakistan. The nation’s journey, much like a seasoned ship, has weathered countless storms, its hull bearing the marks of past struggles and its sails catching fleeting winds of opportunity. Yet, amidst these trials, there were glimpses of resilience: incremental steps towards digital governance, a strategic recalibration of foreign policy, and persistent efforts to foster economic growth. Unless sincerely attended to, political fragmentation, economic vulnerabilities, digital bullying, societal fragmentation, and enduring security threats continue to test its mettle.

Burying and relegating vested individual, political and institutional interests in honour of the masses, harmonised societies, and nationhood, only through sustained commitment to reform, inclusive development, and strategic regional engagement can Pakistan hope to steer itself towards the course of genuine stability and progress. As Pakistan sets its course for 2026, the lessons from the preceding year must be its navigational charts and compass, guiding it towards calmer and safe waters with a prosperous horizon in sight.

The writer is a Canada-based freelancer who frequently contributes to national affairs, interfaith harmony, international relations, and maritime subjects. He can be reached at sardartshahid
@gmail.com

Filed Under: Op-Ed Tagged With: Navigating, Shallow Waters

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