The United States could be closer to a major military conflict with Iran than most realize, Axios reported. The potential weeks‑long campaign may begin “very soon” if diplomacy fails. The warning affects regional stability and global markets, with civilians and militaries on edge.
U.S. officials told Axios that Washington has built up forces near Iran, including fighter jets and warships, signaling readiness for broader operations. The buildup comes as the second round of talks in Geneva ended without a clear breakthrough on key security issues. Sources said differences remain large on nuclear limits and other red lines set by the Trump administration.
Read more: US and Iran begin tense nuclear talks in Geneva
A potential conflict would likely involve a broader scope than last month’s limited Venezuela operation, focusing on degrading Iranian capabilities and deterring further threats. Some sources told Axios a joint U.S.‑Israeli campaign could unfold, extending for weeks rather than days. Officials said diplomatic options remain on the table, but the window for negotiation is narrowing.
Vice President JD Vance said Trump wants a diplomatic solution but “all options are on the table” if Tehran does not commit to U.S. red lines. Other U.S. sources noted Iran has weeks to submit detailed proposals to narrow gaps, though significant disagreement persists. Meanwhile, U.S. combat units and support assets continue deploying across the Middle East, preparing for any escalation.
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Analysts caution that a major conflict would have far‑reaching consequences for the Middle East and beyond, potentially disrupting energy markets and global supply chains. For now, both sides maintain diplomatic channels while military readiness increases, with policymakers and allies closely watching developments.