An internal Vietnamese military document reveals preparations for a potential American “war of aggression,” highlighting Hanoi’s concerns over US influence and fears of external forces fomenting a domestic uprising.
The document, titled “The 2nd US Invasion Plan,” completed by the Ministry of Defense in August 2024, describes the US as a belligerent power ready to apply unconventional warfare to counter nations outside its influence.
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Vietnamese planners acknowledged that the immediate risk of war is low but stressed vigilance, warning that the US could create pretexts to intervene while expanding military ties with Asian nations to counter China.
Analysts said Hanoi balances diplomatic outreach with deep-seated fears, viewing the US as both a strategic partner and a potential threat seeking to impose democratic values on its socialist government.
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Experts noted that historical memory of the Vietnam War, concerns over “color revolutions,” and past disruptions to aid projects, including Agent Orange cleanup, fuel the Communist leadership’s cautious approach toward Washington.
While China remains a regional rival over territorial claims, officials see the US as a more existential threat, forcing Vietnam to maintain a delicate balance between economic engagement and security hedges.