The National Emergencies Operation Center (NEOC) has issued a strong warning about moderate to heavy monsoon rains expected to continue across Pakistan until July 10. These rains, driven by moisture from the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea combined with a strong westerly weather wave, will likely cause both riverine and flash floods in multiple regions, especially near major rivers.
NEOC forecasts that water levels will rise significantly in Pakistan’s main rivers, including Kabul, Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab. Already, low flood levels have been recorded at key locations like Tarbela, Kalabagh, and Chashma dams on the Indus River. Taunsa is also approaching the low flood threshold. Similarly, the Chenab River may reach low flood levels at Marala and Khanki stations, while the Kabul River near Nowshera is expected to rise to flood marks.
The Jhelum River and its tributaries are expected to experience heavy inflows, causing localized flash floods, with Mangla Dam projected to hit its low flood limit soon. NEOC has strongly advised residents living near rivers, streams, and nullahs to remain vigilant, particularly during nighttime or intense rainfall periods, when sudden water level rises can occur.
Meanwhile, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) reported that recent flash floods and heavy monsoon rains have tragically killed 66 people and injured 127 others across the country. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) remains the worst-affected province with 24 deaths, including 11 children. Flash floods in the Swat Valley last week alone swept away 14 people. Overall, among the fatalities, 31 were children, 22 men, and 13 women.
NDMA officials said they are continuously monitoring the evolving flood situation and working closely with Provincial and District Disaster Management Authorities (PDMAs and DDMAs) to ensure timely preparedness and effective response. They urge the public to follow safety instructions and avoid risky areas during heavy rains.