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Dollar holds firm as peace talks shape global currency direction

Published on: February 18, 2026 4:16 PM

The US dollar remained steady on Wednesday as investors balanced geopolitical risks with expectations around future interest rate moves by the Federal Reserve. Market participants largely stayed cautious while waiting for the latest policy meeting minutes, which could offer clearer signals on possible rate cuts.

Meanwhile, the Japanese yen held its ground after improved business confidence data showed a rebound in manufacturer sentiment. At the same time, President Donald Trump announced major Japanese investments in the United States, supporting optimism around trade and economic cooperation between the two nations.

Read more : Cash in hand surges: Pakistan’s broad money supply hits Rs38.09 .

However, the New Zealand dollar emerged as the weakest performer after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept interest rates unchanged. The central bank also stated that monetary policy would remain accommodative, reflecting ongoing concerns about the fragile state of the country’s economic recovery.

In addition, currency markets closely tracked diplomatic developments as Iran and the United States reported progress in nuclear negotiations, while peace talks between Ukraine and Russia continued under US mediation. These discussions slightly eased investor anxiety, which had previously supported demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar.

Read more : Pakistan evolving crypto landscape amid global power shifts

Elsewhere, the euro and British pound slipped modestly, while the dollar index stayed near 97.16, indicating limited movement despite ongoing uncertainty. Analysts noted that geopolitical stability often weakens dollar demand, as investors shift back toward riskier global assets.

Looking ahead, traders are now focused on upcoming US economic data and guidance from policymakers, as these factors are expected to drive short-term market sentiment. With global tensions still unresolved, currency markets remain highly sensitive to both political headlines and monetary policy signals.

Filed Under: Business Tagged With: currency markets, dollar index, Fed minutes, global forex trends, Latest, RBNZ policy

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